HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Seth Jones

Florida Panthers · D · #3
Second-pair DSteady Blueliner?61 blocks across 52 games of regular duty
HT
6'4"
WT
213 lb
Age
31
Shoots
R
From
Arlington, USA
Draft
2013 NSH · R1 #4
74Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
7979pctl
Playmaking?
8080pctl
Transition?
7676pctl
Defense?
2727pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.6291pctl
Goals / GP?
0.1386pctl
Assists / GP?
0.4891pctl
Shots / GP?
1.782pctl
Plus/Minus?
-337pctl
PP Points?
1690pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
3.5%38pctl
ZEIS?
2.2568pctl
PSPL?
0.1977pctl
Def Suppression?
0.2526pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
1.1739pctl
Blocks / 60?
2.9713pctl
Hits / 60?
2.345pctl
Take : Give?
0.2026pctl
PP TOI / GP?
3:3498pctl
PK TOI / GP?
2:1876pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 36 GP tracked · 14h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.7 min72pctl
Support received?
17.1 min56pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 928 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$9.50M

cap hit

$6.07M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

F

Well above market ($3.4M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Seth Jones74$9.50MF$3.4Mthis player
John Klingberg70--82%
Erik Karlsson81$11.50MF$3.0M81%
Vince Dunn78$7.35MC+$0.1M81%
Darren Raddysh80$0.97MA++$7.2M81%

Chemistry

Top connection: Sam Reinhart · 10 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

8 pts · 1 G · 7 A · 9 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.8 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

vs MIN

1P

0G 1A

@ NYI

1P

0G 1A

@ NYR

0P

0G 0A

vs OTT

3P

0G 3A

vs BOS

0P

0G 0A

@ PIT

1P

1G 0A

@ PIT

1P

0G 1A

@ MTL

1P

0G 1A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)304 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 3 of 7 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 24 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 61 blocks · 7 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2013-14Nashville Predators7761925-23
2014-15Nashville Predators82819273
2015-16Nashville Predators4011011-5
2015-16Columbus Blue Jackets4121820-9
2016-17Columbus Blue Jackets751230426
2017-18Columbus Blue Jackets7816415710
2018-19Columbus Blue Jackets75937461
2019-20Columbus Blue Jackets566243010
2020-21Columbus Blue Jackets5652328-18
2021-22Chicago Blackhawks7854651-37
2022-23Chicago Blackhawks72122537-38
2023-24Chicago Blackhawks6782331-15
2024-25Chicago Blackhawks4272027-18
2024-25Florida Panthers21279-6
2025-26Florida Panthers5272532-3
Career4 teams912106367473-142