Regular season

Adam Wilsby

Nashville Predators · D · #83

Depth DDepth Defenseman?16 points and 47 blocks in 58 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'1"
WT: 188 lb
Age: 25
Shoots: L
From: Stockholm, SWE
Draft: 2020 NSH · R4 #101

61Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

3838pctl

4949pctl

2929pctl

3636pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.2852pctl

0.0215pctl

0.2662pctl

1.045pctl

+254pctl

027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

2.3%23pctl

0.609pctl

0.0832pctl

Def Suppression?

0.1617pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.818pctl

2.8510pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

3.76pctl

1.732pctl

0.3274pctl

0:0219pctl

1:0135pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 38 GP tracked · 11h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

51.3%62pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

52.4%63pctl

O-zone deployment?

43%22pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.5 min57pctl

Support received?

16.7 min70pctl

D-zone deployment?

57%78pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0422pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.3224pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.1823pctl

1.02×71pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.22/gm50pctl

Pressure escape rate?

8.3%60pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 926 EV min

General Offense

3.5051

3.3156

Shot Setups/60?

0.6535

Chance Setups/60?

0.5843

Primary Contributions/60?

4.1547

Rebounds Created/60?

0.2640

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0032

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.4563

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.1344

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0035

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0020

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.6952

Rush Offense/60?

5.1238

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.3258

0.3974

0.0026

Deflections/60?

0.0651

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0032

Entries Finished/60?

0.1932

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.0637

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

2.9262

0.5870

2.3356

Retrieval Success %?

20%62

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0677

Exit Success %?

2%76

Forechecking

0.0011

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0048

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.81M

cap hit

$2.35M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.5M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Adam Wilsby	61	Depth Defenseman	16 P · 58 GP	$0.81M	$2.35M	B+$1.5M	this player
Jack St. Ivany	62	Heavy Hitter	7 P · 20 GP	$0.80M	$2.59M	B+$1.8M	94%
Nick Jensen	61	Depth Defenseman	17 P · 61 GP	$4.05M	$2.35M	D−$1.7M	89%
Emil Andrae	60	Depth Defenseman	13 P · 61 GP	$0.90M	$2.12M	B+$1.2M	88%
Zach Bogosian	59	Depth Defenseman	6 P · 41 GP	$1.25M	$1.91M	C+$0.7M	88%

Chemistry

Top connection: Filip Forsberg · 4 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Adam’s goals

Ryan O'Reilly11 primary

Creates for

goals Adam assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 0 G · 4 A · 11 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs MTL

0P

0G 0A

vs MTL 03-28

0G 0A · 1 shots · 14:31 TOI

@ TBL

1P

0G 1A

@ TBL 03-29

0G 1A · 1 shots · 14:57 TOI

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK 04-02

0G 0A · 2 shots · 14:36 TOI

@ SJS

2P

0G 2A

@ SJS 04-04

0G 2A · 1 shots · 21:32 TOI

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK 04-06

0G 0A · 3 shots · 22:25 TOI

@ ANA

1P

0G 1A

@ ANA 04-07

0G 1A · 1 shots · 21:47 TOI

@ UTA

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA 04-09

0G 0A · 2 shots · 20:57 TOI

vs MIN

0P

0G 0A

vs MIN 04-11

0G 0A · 0 shots · 20:33 TOI

vs SJS

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS 04-13

0G 0A · 0 shots · 18:17 TOI

vs ANA

0P

0G 0A

vs ANA 04-16

0G 0A · 0 shots · 18:32 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)198 events shown

Playmaking gravity: 11 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 47 blocks · 11 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2024-25	Nashville Predators	23	1	4	5	3
2025-26	Nashville Predators	58	1	15	16	2
Career	1 team	81	2	19	21	5