Matt Duchene
Dallas Stars · C · #95- HT
- 5'11"
- WT
- 211 lb
- Age
- 35
- Shoots
- L
- From
- Haliburton, CAN
- Draft
- 2009 COL · R1 #3
Alpha sub-scores
what drives the rating · percentile vs position groupLeague profile
vs. forwards with 20+ GPHockeyAlpha advanced
event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzedCenter toolkit
vs. centers with 20+ GPOn-ice impact
shift charts × our xG model · 41 GP tracked · 11h TOIUsage profile
assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher jobMicro-metrics
Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com
The Blueprint
Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 808 EV minGeneral Offense
Playmaking Sequences
Offense Types
Zone Entries
DZ Retrievals / Exits
Forechecking
Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed.
Contract & market
Contract value?
beta · cap data: CapWages$8.00M
cap hit
$6.30M
Alpha-market value
D
Paying a premium (−$1.7M)
Top comparables?
nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit| Player | Alpha | Archetype | Production | Cap hit | Market | Value | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Duchene | 76 | Middle-Six Engine | 45 P · 57 GP | $8.00M | $6.30M | D−$1.7M | this player |
 Pierre-Luc Dubois | 71 | Middle-Six Engine | 19 P · 29 GP | $8.50M | $4.78M | F−$3.7M | 82% |
 Pavel Zacha | 79 | Middle-Six Engine | 65 P · 78 GP | $4.75M | $7.28M | A+$2.5M | 82% |
 Will Smith | 79 | Middle-Six Engine | 59 P · 69 GP | $0.95M | $7.28M | A++$6.3M | 80% |
 Anton Lundell | 78 | Middle-Six Engine | 44 P · 64 GP | $5.00M | $6.95M | B+$1.9M | 78% |
Chemistry
Top connection: Jason Robertson · 12 goals together
Finishes from
assisters on Matt’s goals
From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.
Recent form · last 10 games
@ PIT
1P
0G 1A
@ PIT 03-28
0G 1A · 2 shots · 17:33 TOI
@ PHI
0P
0G 0A
@ PHI 03-29
0G 0A · 0 shots · 17:20 TOI
@ BOS
1P
1G 0A
@ BOS 03-31
1G 0A · 2 shots · 16:25 TOI
vs WPG
1P
1G 0A
vs WPG 04-02
1G 0A · 1 shots · 15:37 TOI
vs COL
0P
0G 0A
vs COL 04-04
0G 0A · 1 shots · 17:23 TOI
vs CGY
1P
0G 1A
vs CGY 04-07
0G 1A · 4 shots · 18:37 TOI
vs MIN
0P
0G 0A
vs MIN 04-09
0G 0A · 1 shots · 14:20 TOI
vs NYR
2P
0G 2A
vs NYR 04-11
0G 2A · 4 shots · 18:34 TOI
@ TOR
3P
0G 3A
@ TOR 04-13
0G 3A · 2 shots · 18:36 TOI
@ BUF
0P
0G 0A
@ BUF 04-15
0G 0A · 0 shots · 17:26 TOI
Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left
The Territory
attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end
The office: the left circle - 4 of 16 goals live there
Playmaking gravity: 14 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s
Defensive floor: 25 blocks · 0 steals inside the d-zone
NHL career · regular season
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009-10 | Colorado Avalanche | 81 | 24 | 31 | 55 | 1 |
| 2010-11 | Colorado Avalanche | 80 | 27 | 40 | 67 | -8 |
| 2011-12 | Colorado Avalanche | 58 | 14 | 14 | 28 | -11 |
| 2012-13 | Colorado Avalanche | 47 | 17 | 26 | 43 | -12 |
| 2013-14 | Colorado Avalanche | 71 | 23 | 47 | 70 | 8 |
| 2014-15 | Colorado Avalanche | 82 | 21 | 34 | 55 | 3 |
| 2015-16 | Colorado Avalanche | 76 | 30 | 29 | 59 | -8 |
| 2016-17 | Colorado Avalanche | 77 | 18 | 23 | 41 | -34 |
| 2017-18 | Colorado Avalanche | 14 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 1 |
| 2017-18 | Ottawa Senators | 68 | 23 | 26 | 49 | -23 |
| 2018-19 | Ottawa Senators | 50 | 27 | 31 | 58 | -2 |
| 2018-19 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 23 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -1 |
| 2019-20 | Nashville Predators | 66 | 13 | 29 | 42 | -4 |
| 2020-21 | Nashville Predators | 34 | 6 | 7 | 13 | -12 |
| 2021-22 | Nashville Predators | 78 | 43 | 43 | 86 | 6 |
| 2022-23 | Nashville Predators | 71 | 22 | 34 | 56 | 4 |
| 2023-24 | Dallas Stars | 80 | 25 | 40 | 65 | 15 |
| 2024-25 | Dallas Stars | 82 | 30 | 52 | 82 | 13 |
| 2025-26 | Dallas Stars | 57 | 16 | 29 | 45 | -3 |
| Career | 5 teams | 1195 | 387 | 549 | 936 | -67 |