HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Kevin Hayes

- · RW · #13
Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?8 points in 28 games in a supporting role
HT
6'3"
WT
217 lb
Age
34
Shoots
L
From
Dorchester, USA
Draft
2010 CHI · R1 #24
64Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
4343pctl
Playmaking?
5555pctl
Transition?
4848pctl
Defense?
3030pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.2931pctl
Goals / GP?
0.1435pctl
Assists / GP?
0.1424pctl
Shots / GP?
1.658pctl
Plus/Minus?
-154pctl
PP Points?
016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
5.5%60pctl
ZEIS?
1.9157pctl
PSPL?
0.2892pctl
Def Suppression?
0.2526pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP
Shots / 60?
7.773pctl
Hits / 60?
5.561pctl
Take : Give?
0.2018pctl
Blocks / 60?
1.7148pctl
PP TOI / GP?
1:0640pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:0128pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 17 GP tracked · 4h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
16.8 min10pctl
Support received?
16.4 min80pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 318 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Kevin Hayes64--this player
Alexandre Texier64$2.10MB+$0.8M91%
Easton Cowan65$0.87MA+$2.3M89%
Kaapo Kakko69$4.53MC$0.3M88%
Matthew Wood66$0.95MA+$2.5M87%

Chemistry

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 1 G · 2 A · 12 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.6 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ MTL

0P

0G 0A

vs MTL

0P

0G 0A

@ TOR

0P

0G 0A

vs CGY

0P

0G 0A

@ BOS

0P

0G 0A

@ BUF

0P

0G 0A

@ BOS

0P

0G 0A

vs WSH

1P

1G 0A

@ WSH

0P

0G 0A

@ STL

2P

0G 2A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)82 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 2 of 4 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 8 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 10 blocks · 0 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2014-15New York Rangers7917284515
2015-16New York Rangers791422364
2016-17New York Rangers7617324910
2017-18New York Rangers762519441
2018-19New York Rangers511428421
2018-19Winnipeg Jets205813-3
2019-20Philadelphia Flyers69231841-6
2020-21Philadelphia Flyers55121931-2
2021-22Philadelphia Flyers48102131-20
2022-23Philadelphia Flyers81183654-22
2023-24St. Louis Blues791316290
2024-25Pittsburgh Penguins64131023-15
2025-26Pittsburgh Penguins28448-1
Career5 teams805185261446-38