Regular season

Cole Hutson

Washington Capitals · D · #44

Second-pair DSteady Blueliner?6 blocks across 14 games of regular duty

HT: 5'11"
WT: 175 lb
Age: 20
Shoots: L
From: St. Louis, USA
Draft: 2024 WSH · R2 #43

76Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

7676pctl

7373pctl

6666pctl

4848pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.7192pctl

0.2197pctl

0.5092pctl

1.679pctl

-337pctl

678pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

6.9%72pctl

2.3270pctl

0.2790pctl

Def Suppression?

0.4349pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.430pctl

1.470pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

2.10pctl

3.967pctl

0.6299pctl

2:1286pctl

0:023pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 14 GP tracked · 4h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

46.5%24pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

42.9%22pctl

O-zone deployment?

55%72pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.1 min27pctl

Support received?

16.8 min66pctl

D-zone deployment?

45%28pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0751pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.3023pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.1414pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.29/gm26pctl

Pressure escape rate?

12.2%99pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 213 EV min

General Offense

4.5065

5.0771

Shot Setups/60?

0.5636

Chance Setups/60?

0.5644

Primary Contributions/60?

5.0761

Rebounds Created/60?

0.5667

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0039

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.2839

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2867

Deflection Setups/60?

0.2873

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0032

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.6952

Rush Offense/60?

8.7372

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.0027

0.2855

0.0036

Deflections/60?

0.0034

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0039

Entries Finished/60?

0.5671

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.5674

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

3.9472

1.9774

1.9743

Retrieval Success %?

50%74

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0042

Exit Success %?

0%42

Forechecking

0.0027

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0049

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.94M

cap hit

$6.75M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A+

Massive surplus value (+$5.8M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Cole Hutson	76	Steady Blueliner	10 P · 14 GP	$0.94M	$6.75M	A++$5.8M	this player
Nick Blankenburg	72	Steady Blueliner	24 P · 61 GP	-	$5.42M	-	85%
Alexander Nikishin	76	Steady Blueliner	33 P · 81 GP	$0.93M	$6.75M	A++$5.8M	84%
Morgan Rielly	77	Steady Blueliner	36 P · 78 GP	$7.50M	$7.09M	C−$0.4M	84%
Jamie Drysdale	75	Steady Blueliner	32 P · 78 GP	$2.30M	$6.40M	A++$4.1M	84%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Cole’s goals

Creates for

goals Cole assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

8 pts · 2 G · 6 A · 16 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ UTA

1P

0G 1A

@ UTA 03-26

0G 1A · 0 shots · 14:56 TOI

@ VGK

2P

0G 2A

@ VGK 03-28

0G 2A · 2 shots · 15:11 TOI

vs PHI

0P

0G 0A

vs PHI 03-31

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:58 TOI

@ NJD

1P

1G 0A

@ NJD 04-02

1G 0A · 7 shots · 18:48 TOI

vs BUF

1P

0G 1A

vs BUF 04-04

0G 1A · 2 shots · 18:58 TOI

@ NYR

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR 04-05

0G 0A · 0 shots · 18:38 TOI

@ TOR

1P

1G 0A

@ TOR 04-08

1G 0A · 2 shots · 18:05 TOI

@ PIT

2P

0G 2A

@ PIT 04-11

0G 2A · 2 shots · 19:02 TOI

vs PIT

0P

0G 0A

vs PIT 04-12

0G 0A · 0 shots · 17:19 TOI

@ CBJ

0P

0G 0A

@ CBJ 04-14

0G 0A · 1 shots · 19:54 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)66 events shown

The office: the left point - 1 of 3 goals live there

Defensive floor: 6 blocks · 7 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2025-26	Washington Capitals	14	3	7	10	-3
Career	1 team	14	3	7	10	-3