Regular season

Ivan Demidov

Montréal Canadiens · RW · #93

Middle-six playerMiddle-Six Engine?Reliable minutes: 62 points and honest two-way play

HT: 6'1"
WT: 192 lb
Age: 20
Shoots: L
From: Sergiyev Posad, RUS
Draft: 2024 MTL · R1 #5

75Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

5858pctl

6565pctl

6363pctl

2424pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.7681pctl

0.2363pctl

0.5289pctl

1.555pctl

+370pctl

2087pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

6.2%66pctl

2.4974pctl

0.1251pctl

Def Suppression?

0.1213pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

6.036pctl

1.311pctl

0.3151pctl

1.2223pctl

3:0184pctl

0:0026pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 53 GP tracked · 14h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

46.3%23pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

50.8%56pctl

O-zone deployment?

58%82pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.4 min50pctl

Support received?

18.1 min28pctl

D-zone deployment?

42%18pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0422pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.6942pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2437pctl

1.08×93pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.23/gm45pctl

Pressure escape rate?

7.3%37pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1023 EV min

General Offense

4.7529

6.9235

Shot Setups/60?

0.7635

Chance Setups/60?

0.7653

Primary Contributions/60?

5.5127

Rebounds Created/60?

0.3535

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0027

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.5344

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.1218

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0036

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1250

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.2340

Rush Offense/60?

7.6949

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.5331

0.4116

0.2370

Deflections/60?

0.5914

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0018

Entries Finished/60?

0.5330

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.4143

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.5877

0.4169

1.1774

Retrieval Success %?

26%52

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0034

Exit Success %?

0%31

Forechecking

1.7027

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.94M

cap hit

$5.99M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A+

Massive surplus value (+$5.0M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Ivan Demidov	75	Middle-Six Engine	62 P · 82 GP	$0.94M	$5.99M	A++$5.0M	this player
Jonathan Marchessault	71	Middle-Six Engine	31 P · 62 GP	$5.50M	$4.78M	C−$0.7M	87%
Matvei Michkov	75	Middle-Six Engine	51 P · 81 GP	$0.95M	$5.99M	A++$5.0M	85%
Mats Zuccarello	79	Middle-Six Engine	54 P · 59 GP	$4.13M	$7.28M	A+$3.2M	84%
Chris Kreider	75	Middle-Six Engine	50 P · 75 GP	$6.50M	$5.99M	C−$0.5M	83%

Chemistry

Top connection: Oliver Kapanen · 17 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Ivan’s goals

Creates for

goals Ivan assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

6 pts · 3 G · 3 A · 20 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ CAR

1P

0G 1A

@ CAR 03-29

0G 1A · 0 shots · 15:20 TOI

@ TBL

1P

0G 1A

@ TBL 03-31

0G 1A · 2 shots · 15:43 TOI

@ NYR

1P

0G 1A

@ NYR 04-02

0G 1A · 2 shots · 12:30 TOI

@ NJD

1P

1G 0A

@ NJD 04-04

1G 0A · 4 shots · 20:40 TOI

vs NJD

0P

0G 0A

vs NJD 04-05

0G 0A · 1 shots · 16:32 TOI

vs FLA

1P

1G 0A

vs FLA 04-07

1G 0A · 4 shots · 20:19 TOI

vs TBL

0P

0G 0A

vs TBL 04-09

0G 0A · 1 shots · 19:14 TOI

vs CBJ

0P

0G 0A

vs CBJ 04-11

0G 0A · 4 shots · 14:57 TOI

@ NYI

1P

1G 0A

@ NYI 04-12

1G 0A · 1 shots · 11:45 TOI

@ PHI

0P

0G 0A

@ PHI 04-14

0G 0A · 1 shots · 20:06 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)283 events shown

The office: the left circle - 9 of 19 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 19 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 28 blocks · 9 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2024-25	Montréal Canadiens	2	1	1	2	1
2025-26	Montréal Canadiens	82	19	43	62	3
Career	1 team	84	20	44	64	4