Regular season

Noah Dobson

Montréal Canadiens · D · #53

Top-pair DShutdown Anchor?188 blocks · Def Sup 1.54 - kills offense before it starts

HT: 6'4"
WT: 200 lb
Age: 26
Shoots: R
From: Summerside, CAN
Draft: 2018 NYI · R1 #12

85Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

8484pctl

6464pctl

7878pctl

8787pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.5990pctl

0.1589pctl

0.4490pctl

2.089pctl

+566pctl

781pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

3.7%41pctl

2.1967pctl

0.0937pctl

Def Suppression?

1.5499pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

2.3599pctl

6.2794pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

9.097pctl

2.140pctl

0.3885pctl

1:3178pctl

2:0170pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 51 GP tracked · 19h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

45.5%19pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

50.0%52pctl

O-zone deployment?

49%48pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

18.0 min94pctl

Support received?

17.5 min41pctl

D-zone deployment?

51%52pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0423pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.4230pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.1925pctl

0.98×46pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.53/gm0pctl

Pressure escape rate?

7.4%40pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1515 EV min

General Offense

4.6780

3.2554

Shot Setups/60?

0.8760

Chance Setups/60?

0.7564

Primary Contributions/60?

5.5478

Rebounds Created/60?

0.3248

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0459

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.2829

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2880

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0034

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1259

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

2.4585

Rush Offense/60?

6.1864

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.2441

0.1633

0.0863

Deflections/60?

0.1269

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0458

Entries Finished/60?

0.3259

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.1669

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

3.3378

0.8389

2.4969

Retrieval Success %?

25%82

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0471

Exit Success %?

1%66

Forechecking

0.3646

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0048

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$9.50M

cap hit

$10.05M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.6M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Noah Dobson	85	Shutdown Anchor	47 P · 80 GP	$9.50M	$10.05M	C+$0.6M	this player
Justin Faulk	83	Offensive QB	40 P · 78 GP	$6.50M	$9.28M	A+$2.8M	89%
Thomas Harley	85	Two-Way D	36 P · 70 GP	$4.00M	$10.05M	A++$6.1M	79%
Thomas Chabot	85	Two-Way D	31 P · 57 GP	$8.00M	$10.05M	A+$2.1M	78%
Brock Faber	85	Offensive QB	51 P · 80 GP	$8.50M	$10.05M	B+$1.6M	76%

Chemistry

Top connection: Cole Caufield · 14 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Noah’s goals

Creates for

goals Noah assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

1 pts · 0 G · 1 A · 14 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs CBJ

0P

0G 0A

vs CBJ 03-26

0G 0A · 1 shots · 24:45 TOI

@ NSH

0P

0G 0A

@ NSH 03-28

0G 0A · 2 shots · 21:34 TOI

@ CAR

0P

0G 0A

@ CAR 03-29

0G 0A · 4 shots · 22:07 TOI

@ TBL

0P

0G 0A

@ TBL 03-31

0G 0A · 0 shots · 21:45 TOI

@ NYR

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR 04-02

0G 0A · 1 shots · 22:43 TOI

@ NJD

0P

0G 0A

@ NJD 04-04

0G 0A · 0 shots · 22:08 TOI

vs NJD

0P

0G 0A

vs NJD 04-05

0G 0A · 1 shots · 23:39 TOI

vs FLA

1P

0G 1A

vs FLA 04-07

0G 1A · 3 shots · 25:52 TOI

vs TBL

0P

0G 0A

vs TBL 04-09

0G 0A · 2 shots · 22:55 TOI

vs CBJ

0P

0G 0A

vs CBJ 04-11

0G 0A · 0 shots · 12:57 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)582 events shown

The office: the right point - 3 of 12 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 29 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 187 blocks · 26 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2019-20	New York Islanders	34	1	6	7	-1
2020-21	New York Islanders	46	3	11	14	1
2021-22	New York Islanders	80	13	38	51	-3
2022-23	New York Islanders	78	13	36	49	4
2023-24	New York Islanders	79	10	60	70	12
2024-25	New York Islanders	71	10	29	39	-16
2025-26	Montréal Canadiens	80	12	35	47	5
Career	2 teams	468	62	215	277	2