HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Alexandre Carrier

Montréal Canadiens · D · #45
Second-pair DShutdown Anchor?155 blocks · Def Sup 1.86 - kills offense before it starts
HT
5'11"
WT
174 lb
Age
29
Shoots
R
From
Quebec City, CAN
Draft
2015 NSH · R4 #115
75Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
5454pctl
Playmaking?
4949pctl
Transition?
3636pctl
Defense?
9292pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.3057pctl
Goals / GP?
0.1073pctl
Assists / GP?
0.2148pctl
Shots / GP?
0.822pctl
Plus/Minus?
+254pctl
PP Points?
027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
1.5%11pctl
ZEIS?
1.2129pctl
PSPL?
0.1042pctl
Def Suppression?
1.86100pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
2.1296pctl
Blocks / 60?
6.6799pctl
Hits / 60?
1.527pctl
Take : Give?
0.5698pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:0116pctl
PK TOI / GP?
3:0195pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 44 GP tracked · 14h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.4 min48pctl
Support received?
16.4 min79pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1171 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$3.75M

cap hit

$6.40M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$2.7M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Alexandre Carrier75$3.75MA+$2.7Mthis player
Martin Fehervary73$2.67MA+$3.1M91%
Mario Ferraro73$3.25MA+$2.5M87%
Brett Pesce71$5.50MC$0.4M85%
Colton Parayko75$6.50MC$0.1M84%

Chemistry

Top connection: Ivan Demidov · 5 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 0 G · 2 A · 1 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS

0P

0G 0A

vs ANA

0P

0G 0A

vs BOS

0P

0G 0A

@ DET

0P

0G 0A

vs NYI

1P

0G 1A

vs CAR

1P

0G 1A

vs CBJ

0P

0G 0A

@ NSH

0P

0G 0A

@ CAR

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)327 events shown

The office: the left point - 2 of 7 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 9 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 157 blocks · 16 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2016-17Nashville Predators20001
2019-20Nashville Predators30002
2020-21Nashville Predators191233
2021-22Nashville Predators773273026
2022-23Nashville Predators432790
2023-24Nashville Predators73416207
2024-25Nashville Predators28167-14
2024-25Montréal Canadiens51216184
2025-26Montréal Canadiens73715222
Career2 teams369208910931