HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Brenden Dillon

New Jersey Devils · D · #5
Depth DHeavy Hitter?202 hits (8.2/60) - punishes the forecheck
HT
6'4"
WT
225 lb
Age
35
Shoots
L
From
New Westminster, CAN
57Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
2222pctl
Playmaking?
2525pctl
Transition?
1313pctl
Defense?
4747pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.1824pctl
Goals / GP?
0.0432pctl
Assists / GP?
0.1526pctl
Shots / GP?
0.713pctl
Plus/Minus?
-1312pctl
PP Points?
027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
0.8%2pctl
ZEIS?
0.456pctl
PSPL?
0.0414pctl
Def Suppression?
0.7481pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
1.2649pctl
Blocks / 60?
4.1852pctl
Hits / 60?
8.295pctl
Take : Give?
0.1817pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:0113pctl
PK TOI / GP?
2:1876pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 48 GP tracked · 15h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.1 min33pctl
Support received?
16.7 min71pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1286 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$4.00M

cap hit

$1.51M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium ($2.5M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Brenden Dillon57$4.00MD$2.5Mthis player
Simon Benoit58$1.35MC+$0.4M93%
Vincent Desharnais59$2.00MC$0.1M91%
Elias Pettersson56$0.84MC+$0.5M86%
Nick Leddy62--86%

Chemistry

Top connection: Paul Cotter · 3 goals together

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

0 pts · 0 G · 0 A · 8 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs CHI

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR

0P

0G 0A

vs WSH

0P

0G 0A

vs MTL

0P

0G 0A

@ MTL

0P

0G 0A

vs PHI

0P

0G 0A

vs PIT

0P

0G 0A

@ DET

0P

0G 0A

vs OTT

0P

0G 0A

@ BOS

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)243 events shown

The office: the high slot - 1 of 3 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 7 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 102 blocks · 5 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2011-12Dallas Stars10000
2012-13Dallas Stars483581
2013-14Dallas Stars80611179
2014-15Dallas Stars20011-2
2014-15San Jose Sharks60279-11
2015-16San Jose Sharks7629118
2016-17San Jose Sharks812810-2
2017-18San Jose Sharks8151722-7
2018-19San Jose Sharks821212219
2019-20San Jose Sharks59113140
2019-20Washington Capitals10000-2
2020-21Washington Capitals562171915
2021-22Winnipeg Jets793172016
2022-23Winnipeg Jets82221232
2023-24Winnipeg Jets778122020
2024-25New Jersey Devils82214168
2025-26New Jersey Devils8231215-13
Career5 teams10564218522761