Regular season

Colin Blackwell

Dallas Stars · C · #15

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 112 hits (8.1/60)

HT: 5'8"
WT: 181 lb
Age: 33
Shoots: R
From: North Andover, USA
Draft: 2011 SJS · R7 #194

55Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

1616pctl

3232pctl

4343pctl

6666pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.2116pctl

0.0610pctl

0.1629pctl

0.913pctl

-250pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

3.2%34pctl

1.9258pctl

0.0832pctl

Def Suppression?

0.4654pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

43.2%17pctl

D-Zone FO %?

33.5%2pctl

4.132pctl

0.5590pctl

0:011pctl

2:0487pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 42 GP tracked · 9h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

47.5%32pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

44.0%26pctl

O-zone deployment?

35%10pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.1 min31pctl

Support received?

16.8 min67pctl

D-zone deployment?

65%90pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0642pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.6238pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2028pctl

0.97×35pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.23/gm45pctl

Pressure escape rate?

5.4%8pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 688 EV min

General Offense

4.8933

6.8134

Shot Setups/60?

1.2270

Chance Setups/60?

1.0574

Primary Contributions/60?

6.1142

Rebounds Created/60?

0.3535

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.1780

Center-Lane Setups/60?

1.0583

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.5277

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0037

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1764

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

0.9627

Rush Offense/60?

8.7366

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.4425

0.8757

0.4484

Deflections/60?

1.0533

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0943

Entries Finished/60?

0.7956

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.2627

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.7927

0.2649

0.5226

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0035

Forechecking

5.1565

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0043

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.81M

cap hit

$1.16M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.3M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Colin Blackwell	55	Depth Forward	15 P · 70 GP	$0.81M	$1.16M	C+$0.3M	this player
Fedor Svechkov	56	Depth Forward	17 P · 70 GP	$0.93M	$1.30M	C+$0.4M	89%
Rodrigo Abols	57	Depth Forward	10 P · 42 GP	-	$1.46M	-	86%
Tyson Jost	58	Depth Forward	16 P · 69 GP	-	$1.64M	-	86%
Ty Dellandrea	56	Depth Forward	11 P · 46 GP	$1.30M	$1.30M	C+$0.0M	86%

Chemistry

Top connection: Oskar Bäck · 3 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Colin’s goals

Creates for

goals Colin assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 1 G · 2 A · 7 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ NYI

0P

0G 0A

@ NYI 03-26

0G 0A · 0 shots · 12:51 TOI

@ PIT

1P

0G 1A

@ PIT 03-28

0G 1A · 3 shots · 15:36 TOI

@ PHI

0P

0G 0A

@ PHI 03-29

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:25 TOI

@ BOS

0P

0G 0A

@ BOS 03-31

0G 0A · 2 shots · 13:22 TOI

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG 04-02

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:35 TOI

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs COL 04-04

0G 0A · 0 shots · 12:01 TOI

vs CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs CGY 04-07

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:25 TOI

vs MIN

2P

1G 1A

vs MIN 04-09

1G 1A · 2 shots · 9:56 TOI

vs NYR

0P

0G 0A

vs NYR 04-11

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:43 TOI

@ TOR

0P

0G 0A

@ TOR 04-13

0G 0A · 0 shots · 12:34 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)242 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 3 of 4 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 13 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 38 blocks · 5 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2018-19	Nashville Predators	6	0	0	0	-1
2019-20	Nashville Predators	27	3	7	10	7
2020-21	New York Rangers	47	12	10	22	2
2021-22	Seattle Kraken	39	8	9	17	1
2021-22	Toronto Maple Leafs	19	2	1	3	-1
2022-23	Chicago Blackhawks	53	2	8	10	-16
2023-24	Chicago Blackhawks	44	8	4	12	-2
2024-25	Dallas Stars	63	6	11	17	4
2025-26	Dallas Stars	70	4	11	15	-2
Career	6 teams	368	45	61	106	-8