Regular season

Tyler Seguin

Dallas Stars · C · #91

Middle-six playerDepth Forward?17 points in 27 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'2"
WT: 205 lb
Age: 34
Shoots: R
From: Brampton, CAN
Draft: 2010 BOS · R1 #2

69Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

5757pctl

4141pctl

4242pctl

2222pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.6372pctl

0.2671pctl

0.3772pctl

1.131pctl

+1085pctl

450pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

6.1%65pctl

1.5644pctl

0.002pctl

Def Suppression?

0.1314pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

53.6%77pctl

D-Zone FO %?

56.5%87pctl

8.758pctl

0.146pctl

2:0570pctl

0:1737pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 9 GP tracked · 2h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

51.5%64pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

70.0%99pctl

O-zone deployment?

35%9pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.9 min88pctl

Support received?

18.7 min11pctl

D-zone deployment?

65%91pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0423pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.0664pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2232pctl

0.97×37pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.07/gm97pctl

Pressure escape rate?

9.8%85pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 386 EV min

General Offense

2.9520

5.4423

Shot Setups/60?

0.1620

Chance Setups/60?

0.1620

Primary Contributions/60?

3.1120

Rebounds Created/60?

0.0020

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0033

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.0020

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.0020

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0040

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0026

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

0.6222

Rush Offense/60?

4.8222

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.1620

0.4726

0.0025

Deflections/60?

0.7827

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0026

Entries Finished/60?

0.6243

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.4749

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.7831

0.1635

0.6235

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0038

Forechecking

2.0236

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0044

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$9.85M

cap hit

$4.22M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

F

Well above market (−$5.6M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Tyler Seguin	69	Depth Forward	17 P · 27 GP	$9.85M	$4.22M	F−$5.6M	this player
Casey Mittelstadt	66	Depth Forward	42 P · 71 GP	$5.75M	$3.42M	D−$2.3M	83%
Connor Zary	63	Depth Forward	25 P · 74 GP	$3.77M	$2.68M	D−$1.1M	81%
Alex Newhook	70	Depth Forward	25 P · 42 GP	$2.90M	$4.50M	B+$1.6M	80%
Calum Ritchie	65	Depth Forward	30 P · 65 GP	$0.92M	$3.17M	A+$2.2M	79%

Chemistry

Top connection: Jason Robertson · 6 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Tyler’s goals

Creates for

goals Tyler assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

10 pts · 2 G · 8 A · 8 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ MTL

1P

1G 0A

@ MTL 11-13

1G 0A · 1 shots · 16:22 TOI

vs PHI

2P

1G 1A

vs PHI 11-15

1G 1A · 2 shots · 15:16 TOI

vs NYI

2P

0G 2A

vs NYI 11-18

0G 2A · 0 shots · 17:21 TOI

@ VAN

0P

0G 0A

@ VAN 11-20

0G 0A · 1 shots · 15:34 TOI

@ CGY

1P

0G 1A

@ CGY 11-22

0G 1A · 1 shots · 18:35 TOI

@ EDM

2P

0G 2A

@ EDM 11-25

0G 2A · 0 shots · 17:06 TOI

@ SEA

2P

0G 2A

@ SEA 11-26

0G 2A · 1 shots · 16:03 TOI

vs UTA

0P

0G 0A

vs UTA 11-28

0G 0A · 0 shots · 18:15 TOI

vs OTT

0P

0G 0A

vs OTT 11-30

0G 0A · 1 shots · 15:54 TOI

@ NYR

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR 12-02

0G 0A · 1 shots · 1:12 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)141 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 3 of 7 goals live there

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2010-11	Boston Bruins	74	11	11	22	-4
2011-12	Boston Bruins	81	29	38	67	34
2012-13	Boston Bruins	48	16	16	32	23
2013-14	Dallas Stars	80	37	47	84	16
2014-15	Dallas Stars	71	37	40	77	-1
2015-16	Dallas Stars	72	33	40	73	2
2016-17	Dallas Stars	82	26	46	72	-15
2017-18	Dallas Stars	82	40	38	78	12
2018-19	Dallas Stars	82	33	47	80	17
2019-20	Dallas Stars	69	17	33	50	-2
2020-21	Dallas Stars	3	2	0	2	0
2021-22	Dallas Stars	81	24	25	49	-21
2022-23	Dallas Stars	76	21	29	50	3
2023-24	Dallas Stars	68	25	27	52	10
2024-25	Dallas Stars	20	9	12	21	15
2025-26	Dallas Stars	27	7	10	17	10
Career	2 teams	1016	367	459	826	99