Regular season

Colton Parayko

St. Louis Blues · D · #55

Second-pair DShutdown Anchor?172 blocks · Def Sup 1.39 - kills offense before it starts

HT: 6'6"
WT: 228 lb
Age: 33
Shoots: R
From: St. Albert, CAN
Draft: 2012 STL · R3 #86

75Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

5555pctl

5757pctl

4848pctl

8686pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.2341pctl

0.0549pctl

0.1838pctl

1.469pctl

-628pctl

027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

2.8%29pctl

1.0121pctl

0.1770pctl

Def Suppression?

1.3998pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

2.2398pctl

6.0393pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

8.191pctl

3.358pctl

0.3885pctl

0:1352pctl

2:2881pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 46 GP tracked · 17h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

49.4%48pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

45.3%30pctl

O-zone deployment?

44%25pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.6 min62pctl

Support received?

16.7 min69pctl

D-zone deployment?

56%75pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0317pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.4732pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.1211pctl

0.98×44pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.34/gm12pctl

Pressure escape rate?

6.7%23pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1503 EV min

General Offense

3.9566

3.1552

Shot Setups/60?

0.9266

Chance Setups/60?

0.7665

Primary Contributions/60?

4.8766

Rebounds Created/60?

0.5680

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0459

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.4461

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.0830

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0034

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0431

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.8062

Rush Offense/60?

6.1163

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.3257

0.2044

0.0024

Deflections/60?

0.0856

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0459

Entries Finished/60?

0.3260

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.1256

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

2.8457

0.6880

2.1647

Retrieval Success %?

24%79

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0883

Exit Success %?

3%83

Forechecking

0.7280

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0048

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$6.50M

cap hit

$6.40M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (−$0.1M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Colton Parayko	75	Shutdown Anchor	18 P · 77 GP	$6.50M	$6.40M	C−$0.1M	this player
Adam Larsson	75	Steady Blueliner	25 P · 82 GP	$5.25M	$6.40M	B+$1.2M	90%
Jake McCabe	74	Steady Blueliner	25 P · 80 GP	$4.49M	$6.07M	B+$1.6M	90%
Mario Ferraro	73	Steady Blueliner	23 P · 82 GP	$3.25M	$5.74M	A+$2.5M	90%
Martin Fehervary	73	Steady Blueliner	27 P · 81 GP	$2.67M	$5.74M	A+$3.1M	84%

Chemistry

Top connection: Jordan Kyrou · 3 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Colton’s goals

Creates for

goals Colton assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 3 G · 1 A · 13 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

@ SJS 03-30

0G 0A · 1 shots · 21:23 TOI

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK 04-01

0G 0A · 2 shots · 23:35 TOI

@ ANA

2P

1G 1A

@ ANA 04-03

1G 1A · 2 shots · 22:38 TOI

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

@ COL 04-05

0G 0A · 1 shots · 23:14 TOI

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs COL 04-07

0G 0A · 0 shots · 20:51 TOI

vs WPG

1P

1G 0A

vs WPG 04-09

1G 0A · 1 shots · 19:24 TOI

@ CHI

0P

0G 0A

@ CHI 04-11

0G 0A · 2 shots · 22:08 TOI

vs MIN

1P

1G 0A

vs MIN 04-13

1G 0A · 1 shots · 16:09 TOI

vs PIT

0P

0G 0A

vs PIT 04-14

0G 0A · 1 shots · 23:36 TOI

@ UTA

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA 04-16

0G 0A · 2 shots · 17:58 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)454 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 2 of 4 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 22 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 173 blocks · 22 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2015-16	St. Louis Blues	79	9	24	33	28
2016-17	St. Louis Blues	81	4	31	35	7
2017-18	St. Louis Blues	82	6	29	35	-7
2018-19	St. Louis Blues	80	10	18	28	20
2019-20	St. Louis Blues	64	10	18	28	8
2020-21	St. Louis Blues	32	2	10	12	-2
2021-22	St. Louis Blues	80	6	29	35	16
2022-23	St. Louis Blues	79	4	23	27	-19
2023-24	St. Louis Blues	82	10	16	26	4
2024-25	St. Louis Blues	64	16	20	36	12
2025-26	St. Louis Blues	77	4	14	18	-6
Career	1 team	800	81	232	313	61