HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Jake McCabe

Toronto Maple Leafs · D · #22
Second-pair DSteady Blueliner?190 blocks across 80 games of regular duty
HT
6'1"
WT
210 lb
Age
32
Shoots
L
From
Eau Claire, USA
Draft
2012 BUF · R2 #44
74Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
5151pctl
Playmaking?
5757pctl
Transition?
3535pctl
Defense?
8585pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.3159pctl
Goals / GP?
0.0655pctl
Assists / GP?
0.2560pctl
Shots / GP?
1.038pctl
Plus/Minus?
+359pctl
PP Points?
027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
2%19pctl
ZEIS?
0.8015pctl
PSPL?
0.1147pctl
Def Suppression?
1.6199pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
2.38100pctl
Blocks / 60?
6.3696pctl
Hits / 60?
3.560pctl
Take : Give?
0.3173pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:1856pctl
PK TOI / GP?
2:4889pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 50 GP tracked · 19h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.9 min90pctl
Support received?
16.5 min77pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1544 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$4.49M

cap hit

$6.07M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.6M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Jake McCabe74$4.49MB+$1.6Mthis player
Colton Parayko75$6.50MC$0.1M90%
Mario Ferraro73$3.25MA+$2.5M90%
Martin Fehervary73$2.67MA+$3.1M88%
Adam Larsson75$5.25MB+$1.2M88%

Chemistry

Top connection: Dakota Joshua · 6 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 2 G · 1 A · 12 shots in last 10Steady(-0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs NYR

1P

1G 0A

@ STL

1P

1G 0A

@ ANA

0P

0G 0A

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

vs WSH

0P

0G 0A

@ NYI

0P

0G 0A

vs FLA

0P

0G 0A

vs DAL

1P

0G 1A

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)394 events shown

The office: the right point - 3 of 5 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 18 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 190 blocks · 14 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2013-14Buffalo Sabres7011-3
2014-15Buffalo Sabres20000
2015-16Buffalo Sabres77410146
2016-17Buffalo Sabres7631720-7
2017-18Buffalo Sabres533912-11
2018-19Buffalo Sabres5941014-4
2019-20Buffalo Sabres6631013-11
2020-21Buffalo Sabres131232
2021-22Chicago Blackhawks7541822-27
2022-23Chicago Blackhawks55218207
2022-23Toronto Maple Leafs2114512
2023-24Toronto Maple Leafs738202820
2024-25Toronto Maple Leafs662212323
2025-26Toronto Maple Leafs80520253
Career3 teams7234016020010