HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Brett Pesce

New Jersey Devils · D · #22
Third-pair DShutdown Anchor?80 blocks · Def Sup 1.80 - kills offense before it starts
HT
6'3"
WT
206 lb
Age
31
Shoots
R
From
Tarrytown, USA
Draft
2013 CAR · R3 #66
71Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
4040pctl
Playmaking?
4242pctl
Transition?
3232pctl
Defense?
8686pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.1926pctl
Goals / GP?
0.0325pctl
Assists / GP?
0.1630pctl
Shots / GP?
1.258pctl
Plus/Minus?
-1116pctl
PP Points?
027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
1.8%16pctl
ZEIS?
0.8917pctl
PSPL?
0.1042pctl
Def Suppression?
1.80100pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
2.1696pctl
Blocks / 60?
6.3896pctl
Hits / 60?
0.99pctl
Take : Give?
0.7099pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:0643pctl
PK TOI / GP?
2:3082pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 17 GP tracked · 6h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.4 min48pctl
Support received?
17.8 min36pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 655 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$5.50M

cap hit

$5.10M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal ($0.4M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Brett Pesce71$5.50MC$0.4Mthis player
Martin Fehervary73$2.67MA+$3.1M86%
Alexandre Carrier75$3.75MA+$2.7M85%
Mario Ferraro73$3.25MA+$2.5M84%
Kaiden Guhle72$5.55MC$0.1M83%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Brett’s goals

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

1 pts · 0 G · 1 A · 8 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ SEA

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs NSH

0P

0G 0A

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

vs CBJ

0P

0G 0A

vs NYI

0P

0G 0A

vs BUF

0P

0G 0A

@ PIT

0P

0G 0A

@ STL

1P

0G 1A

vs FLA

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)183 events shown

Playmaking gravity: 6 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 79 blocks · 8 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2015-16Carolina Hurricanes6941216-7
2016-17Carolina Hurricanes822182023
2017-18Carolina Hurricanes6531619-6
2018-19Carolina Hurricanes737222935
2019-20Carolina Hurricanes61414187
2020-21Carolina Hurricanes554212514
2021-22Carolina Hurricanes70721285
2022-23Carolina Hurricanes825253011
2023-24Carolina Hurricanes703101310
2024-25New Jersey Devils7231417-5
2025-26New Jersey Devils37167-11
Career2 teams7364317922276