Regular season

Sammy Blais

Ottawa Senators · LW · #27

Bottom-six playerWrecking Ball?78 hits (26.4/60) - physically tilts every shift

HT: 6'2"
WT: 206 lb
Age: 30
Shoots: L
From: Montmagny, CAN
Draft: 2014 STL · R6 #176

63Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

3434pctl

4343pctl

2323pctl

7474pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.3844pctl

0.1435pctl

0.2451pctl

0.912pctl

+266pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

3.5%38pctl

0.9017pctl

0.0832pctl

Def Suppression?

0.6775pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

6.139pctl

26.499pctl

2.00100pctl

4.0698pctl

0:0314pctl

0:004pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 8 GP tracked · 1h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

45.3%18pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.1 min0pctl

Support received?

16.1 min88pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.004pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.0664pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.1822pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.06/gm98pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 176 EV min

General Offense

6.1455

7.8550

Shot Setups/60?

0.6839

Chance Setups/60?

0.6846

Primary Contributions/60?

6.8353

Rebounds Created/60?

0.6864

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0038

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.6857

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.3452

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0043

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0034

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

0.3429

Rush Offense/60?

7.1745

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.0029

1.0260

0.0033

Deflections/60?

2.7370

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0034

Entries Finished/60?

1.0263

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.6864

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.3758

0.6869

0.6842

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0042

Forechecking

19.4571

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.3471

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.78M

cap hit

$2.68M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.9M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Sammy Blais	63	Wrecking Ball	8 P · 21 GP	$0.78M	$2.68M	B+$1.9M	this player
Jaroslav Chmelar	61	Depth Forward	6 P · 28 GP	$0.89M	$2.24M	B+$1.3M	88%
Mark Jankowski	62	Depth Forward	21 P · 68 GP	$0.80M	$2.46M	B+$1.7M	81%
Jared Wright	61	Depth Forward	4 P · 23 GP	$0.91M	$2.24M	B+$1.3M	80%
William Carrier	58	Depth Forward	18 P · 70 GP	$2.05M	$1.64M	C−$0.4M	80%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Sammy’s goals

Creates for

goals Sammy assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 1 G · 2 A · 9 shots in last 10Steady(-0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ FLA

0P

0G 0A

@ FLA 12-30

0G 0A · 0 shots · 8:09 TOI

@ CAR

2P

1G 1A

@ CAR 01-01

1G 1A · 2 shots · 10:05 TOI

@ STL

0P

0G 0A

@ STL 01-03

0G 0A · 1 shots · 6:43 TOI

@ DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ DAL 01-04

0G 0A · 0 shots · 8:20 TOI

vs CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs CGY 01-07

0G 0A · 3 shots · 10:38 TOI

vs FLA

1P

0G 1A

vs FLA 01-08

0G 1A · 0 shots · 7:36 TOI

vs DET

0P

0G 0A

vs DET 01-10

0G 0A · 1 shots · 8:11 TOI

vs VAN

0P

0G 0A

vs VAN 01-12

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:06 TOI

@ WSH

0P

0G 0A

@ WSH 01-13

0G 0A · 0 shots · 6:18 TOI

@ BUF

0P

0G 0A

@ BUF 01-15

0G 0A · 2 shots · 7:29 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)28 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 2 of 3 goals live there

Defensive floor: 13 blocks · 2 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2017-18	St. Louis Blues	11	1	2	3	1
2018-19	St. Louis Blues	32	2	2	4	-1
2019-20	St. Louis Blues	40	6	7	13	-2
2020-21	St. Louis Blues	36	8	7	15	0
2021-22	New York Rangers	14	0	4	4	3
2022-23	New York Rangers	40	0	5	5	1
2022-23	St. Louis Blues	31	9	11	20	3
2023-24	St. Louis Blues	53	1	6	7	-11
2025-26	Toronto Maple Leafs	8	1	2	3	-2
2025-26	Montréal Canadiens	13	2	3	5	4
Career	4 teams	278	30	49	79	-4