Regular season

Jake Evans

Montréal Canadiens · C · #71

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?24 points in 68 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'0"
WT: 190 lb
Age: 30
Shoots: R
From: Toronto, CAN
Draft: 2014 MTL · R7 #207

63Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

5252pctl

2727pctl

4343pctl

6666pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.3538pctl

0.1847pctl

0.1833pctl

1.127pctl

-827pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

6.5%69pctl

1.5443pctl

0.0414pctl

Def Suppression?

0.6171pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

55.9%87pctl

D-Zone FO %?

55.7%84pctl

12.474pctl

0.3138pctl

0:0213pctl

2:5399pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 46 GP tracked · 12h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

47.5%31pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

50.0%52pctl

O-zone deployment?

27%3pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.7 min70pctl

Support received?

17.4 min47pctl

D-zone deployment?

73%97pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0856pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.0765pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.3355pctl

1.00×61pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.28/gm28pctl

Pressure escape rate?

6.3%15pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 845 EV min

General Offense

3.8317

6.4627

Shot Setups/60?

0.4316

Chance Setups/60?

0.4323

Primary Contributions/60?

4.2615

Rebounds Created/60?

0.1417

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0028

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.1414

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2847

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0037

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1457

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

0.7819

Rush Offense/60?

5.8222

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.9273

0.9967

0.3582

Deflections/60?

1.1437

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.3583

Entries Finished/60?

0.7855

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.5056

Entry → Chance %?

64%53

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.4973

0.4370

1.0668

Retrieval Success %?

29%59

Exit Involvements/60?

0.1483

Exit Success %?

10%80

Forechecking

3.7653

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$2.85M

cap hit

$2.68M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (−$0.2M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Jake Evans	63	Depth Forward	24 P · 68 GP	$2.85M	$2.68M	C−$0.2M	this player
Parker Kelly	63	Depth Forward	35 P · 82 GP	$0.82M	$2.68M	B+$1.9M	89%
Alexander Kerfoot	62	Depth Forward	13 P · 34 GP	$3.00M	$2.46M	C−$0.5M	85%
Marat Khusnutdinov	63	Depth Forward	33 P · 77 GP	$0.93M	$2.68M	B+$1.8M	85%
Matt Savoie	67	Depth Forward	37 P · 82 GP	$0.89M	$3.68M	A+$2.8M	83%

Chemistry

Top connection: Josh Anderson · 7 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Jake’s goals

Creates for

goals Jake assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 1 G · 1 A · 7 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ CAR

0P

0G 0A

@ CAR 03-29

0G 0A · 0 shots · 17:55 TOI

@ TBL

0P

0G 0A

@ TBL 03-31

0G 0A · 0 shots · 14:43 TOI

@ NYR

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR 04-02

0G 0A · 0 shots · 19:11 TOI

@ NJD

0P

0G 0A

@ NJD 04-04

0G 0A · 1 shots · 14:43 TOI

vs NJD

0P

0G 0A

vs NJD 04-05

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:59 TOI

vs FLA

0P

0G 0A

vs FLA 04-07

0G 0A · 0 shots · 15:37 TOI

vs TBL

0P

0G 0A

vs TBL 04-09

0G 0A · 1 shots · 12:29 TOI

vs CBJ

1P

0G 1A

vs CBJ 04-11

0G 1A · 0 shots · 14:46 TOI

@ NYI

0P

0G 0A

@ NYI 04-12

0G 0A · 2 shots · 17:03 TOI

@ PHI

1P

1G 0A

@ PHI 04-14

1G 0A · 3 shots · 11:15 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)406 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 4 of 12 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 7 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 55 blocks · 10 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2019-20	Montréal Canadiens	13	2	1	3	1
2020-21	Montréal Canadiens	47	3	10	13	2
2021-22	Montréal Canadiens	72	13	16	29	-5
2022-23	Montréal Canadiens	54	2	17	19	-5
2023-24	Montréal Canadiens	82	7	21	28	-1
2024-25	Montréal Canadiens	82	13	23	36	1
2025-26	Montréal Canadiens	68	12	12	24	-8
Career	1 team	418	52	100	152	-15