HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Mike Matheson

Montréal Canadiens · D · #8
Second-pair DSteady Blueliner?150 blocks across 78 games of regular duty
HT
6'2"
WT
196 lb
Age
32
Shoots
L
From
Pointe-Claire, CAN
Draft
2012 FLA · R1 #23
77Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
7474pctl
Playmaking?
6161pctl
Transition?
6464pctl
Defense?
6464pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.4782pctl
Goals / GP?
0.0971pctl
Assists / GP?
0.3883pctl
Shots / GP?
1.574pctl
Plus/Minus?
+977pctl
PP Points?
159pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
3.4%36pctl
ZEIS?
1.4741pctl
PSPL?
0.0937pctl
Def Suppression?
0.9892pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
1.9291pctl
Blocks / 60?
4.7766pctl
Hits / 60?
1.937pctl
Take : Give?
0.2647pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:1755pctl
PK TOI / GP?
3:56100pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 49 GP tracked · 20h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
18.2 min99pctl
Support received?
17.2 min52pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1556 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$4.88M

cap hit

$7.09M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$2.2M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Mike Matheson77$4.88MA+$2.2Mthis player
Mattias Samuelsson77$4.29MA+$2.8M91%
Jacob Trouba79$8.00MC$0.2M87%
Simon Edvinsson76$0.89MA++$5.9M85%
Mattias Ekholm76$6.25MC+$0.5M85%

Chemistry

Top connection: Cole Caufield · 9 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 1 G · 2 A · 10 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.6 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ NSH

0P

0G 0A

@ CAR

0P

0G 0A

@ TBL

2P

1G 1A

@ NYR

1P

0G 1A

@ NJD

0P

0G 0A

vs NJD

0P

0G 0A

vs FLA

0P

0G 0A

vs TBL

0P

0G 0A

vs CBJ

0P

0G 0A

@ NYI

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)441 events shown

The office: the high slot - 3 of 7 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 16 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 149 blocks · 19 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2015-16Florida Panthers30001
2016-17Florida Panthers8171017-5
2017-18Florida Panthers81101727-1
2018-19Florida Panthers7581927-24
2019-20Florida Panthers5981220-1
2020-21Pittsburgh Penguins44511169
2021-22Pittsburgh Penguins7411203112
2022-23Montréal Canadiens48826347
2023-24Montréal Canadiens82115162-24
2024-25Montréal Canadiens8062531-6
2025-26Montréal Canadiens78730379
Career3 teams70581221302-23