
Nikita Kucherov
Tampa Bay Lightning · RW · #86- HT
- 6'0"
- WT
- 173 lb
- Age
- 33
- Shoots
- L
- From
- Maykop, RUS
- Draft
- 2011 TBL · R2 #58
Alpha sub-scores
what drives the rating · percentile vs position groupLeague profile
vs. forwards with 20+ GPHockeyAlpha advanced
event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzedWinger toolkit
vs. wingers with 20+ GPOn-ice impact
shift charts × our xG model · 48 GP tracked · 16h TOIUsage profile
assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher jobMicro-metrics
Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com
The Blueprint
Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1221 EV minGeneral Offense
Playmaking Sequences
Offense Types
Zone Entries
DZ Retrievals / Exits
Forechecking
Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed.
Contract & market
Contract value?
beta · cap data: CapWages$9.50M
cap hit
$13.65M
Alpha-market value
A+
Massive surplus value (+$4.1M)
Top comparables?
nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit| Player | Alpha | Archetype | Production | Cap hit | Market | Value | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nikita Kucherov | 93 | Sniper | 130 P · 76 GP | $9.50M | $13.65M | A++$4.1M | this player |
Kirill Kaprizov | 91 | Dual Threat | 89 P · 78 GP | $9.00M | $12.02M | A+$3.0M | 85% |
Jason Robertson | 92 | Dual Threat | 96 P · 82 GP | $7.75M | $12.83M | A++$5.1M | 84% |
Artemi Panarin | 86 | Top-Six Threat | 84 P · 78 GP | $11.64M | $9.72M | D−$1.9M | 83% |
Dylan Guenther | 85 | Sniper | 73 P · 79 GP | $7.14M | $9.36M | A+$2.2M | 82% |
Chemistry
Top connection: Brandon Hagel · 31 goals together
Finishes from
assisters on Nikita’s goals
From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.
Recent form · last 10 games
vs SEA
1P
0G 1A
vs SEA 03-26
0G 1A · 1 shots · 18:51 TOI
vs MTL
0P
0G 0A
vs MTL 03-31
0G 0A · 6 shots · 23:10 TOI
vs PIT
3P
1G 2A
vs PIT 04-02
1G 2A · 4 shots · 20:45 TOI
vs BOS
1P
1G 0A
vs BOS 04-04
1G 0A · 3 shots · 16:58 TOI
@ BUF
1P
1G 0A
@ BUF 04-06
1G 0A · 3 shots · 23:30 TOI
@ OTT
1P
0G 1A
@ OTT 04-07
0G 1A · 3 shots · 19:41 TOI
@ MTL
1P
0G 1A
@ MTL 04-09
0G 1A · 1 shots · 23:12 TOI
@ BOS
0P
0G 0A
@ BOS 04-11
0G 0A · 2 shots · 20:21 TOI
vs DET
2P
1G 1A
vs DET 04-13
1G 1A · 3 shots · 16:29 TOI
vs NYR
0P
0G 0A
vs NYR 04-15
0G 0A · 1 shots · 20:54 TOI
Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left
The Territory
attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end
The office: the left circle - 17 of 44 goals live there
Playmaking gravity: 34 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s
Defensive floor: 29 blocks · 5 steals inside the d-zone
NHL career · regular season
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-14 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 52 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 3 |
| 2014-15 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 82 | 29 | 36 | 65 | 38 |
| 2015-16 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 77 | 30 | 36 | 66 | 9 |
| 2016-17 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 74 | 40 | 45 | 85 | 13 |
| 2017-18 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 80 | 39 | 61 | 100 | 15 |
| 2018-19 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 82 | 41 | 87 | 128 | 24 |
| 2019-20 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 68 | 33 | 52 | 85 | 26 |
| 2021-22 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 47 | 25 | 44 | 69 | 1 |
| 2022-23 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 82 | 30 | 83 | 113 | -2 |
| 2023-24 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 81 | 44 | 100 | 144 | 8 |
| 2024-25 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 78 | 37 | 84 | 121 | 22 |
| 2025-26 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 76 | 44 | 86 | 130 | 43 |
| Career | 1 team | 879 | 401 | 723 | 1124 | 200 |











