Jake Guentzel
Tampa Bay Lightning · C · #59- HT
- 5'11"
- WT
- 176 lb
- Age
- 31
- Shoots
- L
- From
- Omaha, USA
- Draft
- 2013 PIT · R3 #77
Alpha sub-scores
what drives the rating · percentile vs position groupLeague profile
vs. forwards with 20+ GPHockeyAlpha advanced
event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzedCenter toolkit
vs. centers with 20+ GPOn-ice impact
shift charts × our xG model · 52 GP tracked · 18h TOIUsage profile
assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher jobMicro-metrics
Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com
The Blueprint
Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1202 EV minGeneral Offense
Playmaking Sequences
Offense Types
Zone Entries
DZ Retrievals / Exits
Forechecking
Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed.
Contract & market
Contract value?
beta · cap data: CapWages$9.00M
cap hit
$11.21M
Alpha-market value
A
Team-friendly deal (+$2.2M)
Top comparables?
nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit| Player | Alpha | Archetype | Production | Cap hit | Market | Value | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jake Guentzel | 90 | Dual Threat | 88 P · 81 GP | $9.00M | $11.21M | A+$2.2M | this player |
 Leo Carlsson | 87 | Top-Six Threat | 67 P · 70 GP | $0.95M | $10.09M | A++$9.1M | 88% |
 Tim Stützle | 87 | Sniper | 83 P · 80 GP | $8.35M | $10.09M | B+$1.7M | 87% |
 Wyatt Johnston | 90 | Top-Six Threat | 86 P · 82 GP | $8.40M | $11.21M | A+$2.8M | 83% |
 Bo Horvat | 84 | Sniper | 57 P · 68 GP | $8.50M | $9.00M | C+$0.5M | 82% |
Chemistry
Top connection: Nikita Kucherov · 20 goals together
Finishes from
assisters on Jake’s goals
From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.
Recent form · last 10 games
vs OTT
1P
1G 0A
vs OTT 03-28
1G 0A · 3 shots · 19:25 TOI
vs NSH
3P
1G 2A
vs NSH 03-29
1G 2A · 3 shots · 18:46 TOI
vs MTL
1P
1G 0A
vs MTL 03-31
1G 0A · 2 shots · 21:06 TOI
vs PIT
2P
0G 2A
vs PIT 04-02
0G 2A · 7 shots · 21:24 TOI
vs BOS
1P
0G 1A
vs BOS 04-04
0G 1A · 1 shots · 21:05 TOI
@ BUF
2P
1G 1A
@ BUF 04-06
1G 1A · 6 shots · 24:54 TOI
@ OTT
0P
0G 0A
@ OTT 04-07
0G 0A · 3 shots · 20:29 TOI
@ MTL
0P
0G 0A
@ MTL 04-09
0G 0A · 4 shots · 26:38 TOI
@ BOS
1P
0G 1A
@ BOS 04-11
0G 1A · 1 shots · 18:10 TOI
vs DET
1P
1G 0A
vs DET 04-13
1G 0A · 2 shots · 21:29 TOI
Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left
The Territory
attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end
The office: the inner slot - 16 of 38 goals live there
Playmaking gravity: 38 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s
Defensive floor: 55 blocks · 12 steals inside the d-zone
NHL career · regular season
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-17 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 40 | 16 | 17 | 33 | 7 |
| 2017-18 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 82 | 22 | 26 | 48 | -9 |
| 2018-19 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 82 | 40 | 36 | 76 | 13 |
| 2019-20 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 39 | 20 | 23 | 43 | 11 |
| 2020-21 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 56 | 23 | 34 | 57 | 7 |
| 2021-22 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 76 | 40 | 44 | 84 | 13 |
| 2022-23 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 78 | 36 | 37 | 73 | 2 |
| 2023-24 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 50 | 22 | 30 | 52 | 9 |
| 2023-24 | Carolina Hurricanes | 17 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 16 |
| 2024-25 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 80 | 41 | 39 | 80 | 18 |
| 2025-26 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 81 | 38 | 50 | 88 | 13 |
| Career | 3 teams | 681 | 306 | 353 | 659 | 100 |