Regular season

J.J. Moser

Tampa Bay Lightning · D · #90

Third-pair DSteady Blueliner?91 blocks across 79 games of regular duty

HT: 6'2"
WT: 183 lb
Age: 26
Shoots: L
From: Biel, CHE
Draft: 2021 ARI · R2 #60

70Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

6969pctl

5757pctl

5757pctl

4141pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.3768pctl

0.0971pctl

0.2866pctl

1.472pctl

+4198pctl

159pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

2.6%26pctl

1.4439pctl

0.1042pctl

Def Suppression?

0.4349pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

1.1536pctl

3.2018pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

4.626pctl

2.141pctl

0.2858pctl

0:0540pctl

2:3585pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 50 GP tracked · 18h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

57.8%95pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

54.4%73pctl

O-zone deployment?

54%68pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.8 min80pctl

Support received?

17.7 min38pctl

D-zone deployment?

46%32pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1280pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.4028pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.4068pctl

1.08×92pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.42/gm4pctl

Pressure escape rate?

8.3%62pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1494 EV min

General Offense

4.3072

4.1077

Shot Setups/60?

0.6028

Chance Setups/60?

0.4828

Primary Contributions/60?

4.9066

Rebounds Created/60?

0.3654

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0030

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.2018

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.1241

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0034

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0845

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.6547

Rush Offense/60?

5.3846

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.7692

0.6892

0.0864

Deflections/60?

0.2487

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0878

Entries Finished/60?

0.3262

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.0842

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

2.0922

0.3230

1.7728

Retrieval Success %?

15%41

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0472

Exit Success %?

2%76

Forechecking

0.2834

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0048

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$3.38M

cap hit

$4.79M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.4M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
J.J. Moser	70	Steady Blueliner	29 P · 79 GP	$3.38M	$4.79M	B+$1.4M	this player
Owen Power	69	Steady Blueliner	29 P · 81 GP	$8.35M	$4.49M	F−$3.9M	87%
Denton Mateychuk	68	Depth Defenseman	31 P · 75 GP	$0.89M	$4.20M	A+$3.3M	85%
Mattias Ekholm	76	Steady Blueliner	41 P · 82 GP	$6.25M	$6.75M	C+$0.5M	82%
Logan Stanley	68	Steady Blueliner	26 P · 76 GP	-	$4.20M	-	82%

Chemistry

Top connection: Darren Raddysh · 5 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on J.J.’s goals

Creates for

goals J.J. assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 0 G · 2 A · 12 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs OTT

0P

0G 0A

vs OTT 03-28

0G 0A · 2 shots · 21:48 TOI

vs NSH

0P

0G 0A

vs NSH 03-29

0G 0A · 2 shots · 20:10 TOI

vs MTL

0P

0G 0A

vs MTL 03-31

0G 0A · 1 shots · 17:55 TOI

vs PIT

0P

0G 0A

vs PIT 04-02

0G 0A · 0 shots · 19:13 TOI

vs BOS

1P

0G 1A

vs BOS 04-04

0G 1A · 0 shots · 21:42 TOI

@ BUF

0P

0G 0A

@ BUF 04-06

0G 0A · 2 shots · 19:54 TOI

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

@ OTT 04-07

0G 0A · 3 shots · 20:23 TOI

@ MTL

0P

0G 0A

@ MTL 04-09

0G 0A · 0 shots · 20:41 TOI

@ BOS

0P

0G 0A

@ BOS 04-11

0G 0A · 0 shots · 22:29 TOI

vs DET

1P

0G 1A

vs DET 04-13

0G 1A · 2 shots · 22:10 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)369 events shown

The office: the right circle - 3 of 7 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 19 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 97 blocks · 11 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2021-22	Arizona Coyotes	43	4	11	15	-10
2022-23	Arizona Coyotes	82	7	24	31	-12
2023-24	Arizona Coyotes	80	5	21	26	-5
2024-25	Tampa Bay Lightning	54	2	12	14	20
2025-26	Tampa Bay Lightning	79	7	22	29	41
Career	2 teams	338	25	90	115	34